COLUMBUS, Ohio – People are asking me whether Ohio State vs. Michigan State is a dangerous game to be betting on.

First of all, my projection and the Vegas consensus line is pretty much the exact same, the Buckeyes by 31.5 points, with a total of 46.5, so there’s really no value either way.

But when I look at this game situationally, Michigan State has an unexpected win over Nebraska, so they’re on cloud nine.

While Ohio State didn’t quite play up to standard, they got the cover, but obviously, I think a lot of people, including Ryan Day, may know there was something left to be desired there, especially with that first half.

This screams Ohio State, especially when you take into account what they’ve done to this team over the last couple of years.

But I think Michigan State coming off a win kind of inflates their value in the market a little bit. And the way the public perceived the Ohio State performance last week kind of deflates it from the Ohio State perspective. #

Even though my projection is spot on, I think if I had to make a play here, I would take Ohio State minus the points.

TreVeyon Henderson Over 32.5 Receiving Yards is my prop bet for this week. The offense has finally discovered that Henderson is a weapon out of the backfield, much like he was two years ago, and that’s paying dividends.

One bet that I like this week is UCF plus 2.5 against Oklahoma State.

Oklahoma State is red hot right now, coming off a huge win against Oklahoma last week, and so I think Oklahoma State’s in a huge letdown spot this week.

Also, I’m going to bet Penn State plus 4.5 against Michigan. From a power rating standpoint, I project Michigan minus 3.5 there playing in Happy Valley. I think James Franklin is going to be coaching like a desperate man because he desperately needs this game.

About Tyler Shoemaker

In 2017, Tyler Shoemaker began placing bets on sports, attempting to hit 10-team parlays on Saturday college football games. When he discovered some basic betting information, such as the probability of ever hitting a 10-team parlay, his pastime swiftly evolved into an intense obsession with competitive betting.

He planted the concept of his T Shoe Index (TSI).

Tyler has a bachelor’s and a master’s degree, neither of which is in anything stats or data-related, so he started with a pen and notebook and math. Eventually, in 2018, those notebooks became spreadsheets that he filled in by hand. This was his first opportunity to appear on Cleveland’s “Buckeye Talk” podcast.

com as an unofficial sports betting expert.

Last season, he cashed 60% (24-16) of his best bets. He hit on 80% (8-2) of his Ohio State bets and was profitable 38% (5-8) on his touchdown-or-more money line upset picks.

This season, he will share his insights in a weekly post, “Betting the Buckeyes.”