Football finance analyst Stefan Borson discussed his predictions for the result of Everton’s appeal on talkSPORT.
The Toffees were found guilty of violating the profit and sustainability regulations of the Premier League this afternoon, and as a result, they received an automatic 10-point deduction.
Premier League clubs are only allowed to lose £105 million before they are subject to a punishment or point deduction.
Everton reported financial losses of £124.5 million over a three-year period, and their case was referred to an independent commission in March.
They have also confirmed that they will file an appeal against the decision, which has dropped them to 19th place in the league standings.
However, Stefan Borson is unsure whether they will be successful in the appeal.
Everyone is in agreement that it’s unprecedented, Borson told talkSPORT.
It’s the first time the Premier League has taken a club to an independent commission regarding a breach, so the Premier League and Everton agree. The only disagreement is over whether it should be a sporting sanction.
The Premier League is quite clear that it should be for the reasons outlined in the initial ruling. I can see no basis on which that shouldn’t be the case.
When you return to that point, the only thing left to ask is whether the second appeal commission thinks a £20 million breach is really not that big of a deal. And I don’t see on what basis it says that, when the original one says it was.
Can Everton still stay in the Premier League?
Everton and the wider football community are mostly extremely surprised that they have been handed such a significant point deduction, with Simon Jordan admitting that he was expecting them to be docked between three and six points.
However, the Toffees may well have to just get on with it if they are unsuccessful with their appeal.
It is certainly not the end of the world for Sean Dyche’s side, who are now two points from safety after previously sitting in 14th place.
With four victories in their last seven league games—more than Burnley, Sheffield United, and Luton Town have combined for the entire season—Everton is playing very well on the field.
Given the lack of quality around them, it would amaze me if Everton didn’t escape the relegation zone very quickly.
It is not the best situation to be in, but it is certainly the best time for them to be in it. If this had happened at the start of the year or even in the summer, then it could have been disastrous.
Everton: Sean Dyche will rage at Nathan Patterson after 17% Scotland stinker, January exit on cards
Everton manager Sean Dyche will undoubtedly be keeping a keen eye on his international players over the coming days.
And one of his players was involved in plenty of action right from the very off, with Nathan Patterson starting for Scotland in their meeting with Georgia.
Manager Steve Clarke chose the right-back for Thursday’s (16 November) Euro 2024 qualifier, as the Scots have already secured their place in the competition for next summer.
They were still keen to get something from their travels, but Patterson was given a simply torrid time from the very first whistle in the 2-2 draw.
Unfortunately, the young defender was handed the task of staying close to Napoli ace Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who adopted an attacking position towards the left, right near the Scotland right-back.
Since he was given a yellow card before the allotted ten minutes had elapsed, Patterson was already treading carefully throughout the game.
And according to Sofascore, things did not get any easier: Patterson was the Scotland player with the lowest rating on the evening, with only Aleksandre Kalandadze of Georgia (who played just 12 minutes) receiving a lower rating.
While Patterson did contribute two tackles and one clearance, he only prevailed in four of the nine ground battles he engaged in.
Moreover, the right-back was accurate with just one of his six crosses (17%) and lost possession of the ball a huge 17 times, more than any of his teammates.
While Toffees boss Dyche will be pleased that the player is getting much-needed minutes, the man in the dugout may not be too happy with the 22-year-old’s display.
Considering that Patterson has only played a few minutes in the last two Everton games and has faced a player like Kvaratskhelia, he most definitely deserves a lot of defense.
Given that Dyche currently prefers Ashley Young over Seamus Coleman at right-back and Coleman’s impending injury return, it is possible that Patterson will be traded during the January transfer window.
At Everton, Sean Dyche has to play Nathan Patterson and Arnaut Danjuma more frequently because of a figure that raises doubts.
Although Sean Dyche hasn’t exactly had it all together since taking over at Everton, the team is headed in the right direction under his leadership.
With two victories and a tie in their previous three games, the Merseyside team is currently 14th in the Premier League standings.
However, Dyche’s team still has hope, and one route the manager could take is to use two players who aren’t playing well.
Although they haven’t played much recently, rookie Nathan Patterson and summer acquisition Arnaut Danjuma are close teammates, according to Opta Analyst (November 16).
According to the publication’s analysis of the best Premier League chance-creating tandems, the defense has given the attacker three opportunities, yielding one assist.
The two have played just 269 minutes together, but their minutes per chance generated figure of 90 is impressive.
The Toffees pair has no chance of matching the 13 opportunities Mohamed Salah has provided for Darwin Nunez at bitter rivals Liverpool, but Dyche could want to consider this option in the coming months.
Though with Ashley Young seemingly locked down at right-back and club captain Seamus Coleman on the verge of making a comeback from a lengthy injury layoff, that option does seem unlikely.
Danjuma is having trouble getting consistent playing time, while at the other end of the field, players like Abdoulaye Doucoure and Dwight McNeil are starting to score goals with increasing regularity.
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That’s according to Daily Mail journalist Dominic King, who was left gobsmacked by such a significant deduction for the Toffees.
Everton was “shocked” and “disappointed” to learn today that the team would be immediately docked ten points for violating the financial fair play regulations.
In October, it was made public that Everton had incurred losses totaling £124.5 million during a three-year span. The team acknowledged that it had violated the profit and sustainability regulations, which stipulated that Premier League teams could only incur losses of £105 million during that time frame.
The Premier League referred the Merseyside outfit to an independent commission back in March and the length of their punishment has now been confirmed, with Everton dropping straight down to 19th place in the table.
There has been a lot of reaction to today’s news, with Simon Jordan already admitting that he was expecting as few as three points to be taken from the Toffees’ tally.
Dominic King has called the deduction an ‘absolute disgrace’ and is in complete disagreement with the ten points that Everton have been docked.
Taking to X, King wrote: 10 points is an absolute disgrace. Everton has every right to file an appeal, and it has seemed throughout that the goal has been to set the club an example.
If 10 points is a baseline, what happens if the club facing 115 charges is deemed guilty?
Although it is a “disgrace,” will Everton be able to prevail in their appeal?
Given that Everton appears to have been used as an example, it will be interesting to see what kind of punishment Manchester City receives.
Even if the Premier League’s criticism does not surpass their own, they will still know exactly what kind of retaliation they are about to face.
After proving their appeal, the Toffees may, of course, still avoid the ten-point deduction. But financial analyst Stefan Borson has already hinted that they would not win and might face relegation.
Even still, given Everton’s recent improvement in play, it is not quite as terrible as it could be—just one victory would lift them back over the drop zone.
Given that Burnley, Sheffield United, and Luton have only managed one victory apiece so far this season, it would be shocking if Sean Dyche is team could not maintain their top flight standing.
