Forecast, synopsis, and odds for the #313 Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. #314 Green Bay Packers

gameAt 1:00 PM EST on Sunday, December 17, 2023Green Bay’s Lambeau FieldComposed by The Tower

 

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Lambeau Field will host a game on Sunday afternoon that might have significant implications for the NFC playoffs. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7; 8-5-0 ATS) are the visiting team on The Frozen Tundra on Saturday at 1:00 p.m. EDT. Naturally, the home club in this game will be the Green Bay Packers (6-7; 7-6-0 ATS). The previous time these teams played in Wisconsin, the Bucs prevailed in a playoff game. Many things have evolved since then. Will the result also?

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Bay Area Gazing Up at the Southern Peaks
The Bucs would have won the division if the season ended before Sunday, and a victory in Atlanta would have matched them for first place in the NFC South on tiebreakers. They preserved their postseason aspirations last week with a 29–25 victory over Atlanta on the road. It doesn’t, though, so in order for this squad to remain in the race and, should things go south, the wild-card race, they must win. A defence that has allowed 20.8 points per game this season (13th) is what has allowed Tampa Bay to win. But in the last four games, that figure has increased to 24.3 per contest. Tampa’s strength is up front, as they have racked up 38 sacks thus far (10th) and limited opponents to 3.9 yards per carry (10th). But over the air, things become a little dicey. There, the Bucs give up the second-most yards and allow 7.7 yards per attempt. The defence gives up 5.6 yards each play because of this. On Sunday, will they hold Green Bay at bay?

Even with a 29-point victory away from home, the offence remains erratic in the meantime. Baker Mayfield and company are scoring 20.2 points per game on the season. Of all the teams, the Bucs gain the fewest yards per carry (3.5). Tampa Bay barely gains 6.7 yards per pass attempt while passing the ball (ranked 25th). The Bucs don’t injure themselves, which is excellent news. They have the seventh-fewest giveaways and the ninth-fewest sacks allowed. Let’s hope it results in another successful week.

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Green Bay Looking to Get Back in the Game
With a three-game winning run and the easily defeated Giants in front of them, the Packers went into Monday Night Football. They failed to gain ground in the NFC wild-card chase and exited New Jersey with their sixth defeat. Instead, they are tied with four teams (including the Bucs if they lose the NFC South lead) for the last position, one game behind the Vikings, and just one game ahead of two other teams, one of whom is the New York squad that defeated them just now. There’s chaos in the NFC.

Luckily, Green Bay’s need to consider those other teams vanishes when they win. The Packers take pleasure in their defence, which ranks 11th in the league in points allowed per game at 20.5, so giving up 24 to the Giants was a difficult blow. Quay Walker and Jordan Alexander, who are both doubtful for this week’s match, were not in the starting lineup for that game. Having surrendered the second-most yards (1,844) and the 28th-most yards per carry (28th), Green Bay likewise has serious problems stopping the run. Few teams are more proficient in the air, despite the Packers only possessing 29 sacks. We need to improve on Monday this week.

The Packers have scored more than 20 points in four straight games on offence. Throughout the season, their offensive line has given up the fifth-fewest sacks. There are just seven clubs with less turnovers. This squad has to keep up all of those positives because they are gaining 5.4 yards per play (12th). Although Green Bay’s two key rushing backs are uncertain for this game, the team still gains 4.3 yards per carry. Christian Watson, a wide receiver, missed the previous game and it appears he won’t be there for this one either. Even if the offence is still producing great results, this team’s health is a liability at the wrong moment. Jordan Love has been playing well lately, even if he struggled on MNF sans Watson. In the previous four games, he has thrown for 1,075 yards, nine touchdowns, and one pick with a passer rating of 106.2.

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Score:

Despite all of their ailments, there’s one very good reason why the Packers should win this game. Their inability to halt the run is their worst flaw, which cost them dearly in Week 14. Can you guess which NFL club does the worst job at rushing the ball?

That would be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who will struggle to move the ball throughout the day due to their inability to exploit the Packers’ weakness on the ground. For the majority of the day, Green Bay’s offence will have enough offensive production through the air to maintain a lead. It will result in a touchdown victory. Bring the Packers home to cover.

Forecast: -3.5 for the Green Bay Packers
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Score:

Tampa Bay’s offence is not going to have an easy time in this game. It is not good to play in really cold weather since windy circumstances make it difficult for them to pass the ball. Then, no team gains less yards per play on the ground. Teams that defeat the Packers succeed there. It’s going to be a difficult day offensively for the Bucs.

The Packers, on the other hand, should score 20 points or more. They won’t, however, lose their minds because Tampa Bay can generate enough pass rush pressure and slow down runs to make stops late in the game. We’ll finish this game with more than thirty points, but not forty. Accept the beneath.

Forecast: Less than 41.5

Written in “The Tower” by André Ifill.

I’ve always considered playing, watching, and discussing sports to be fundamental aspects of my existence. After earning a communication degree from the University of Connecticut, I’m now working to establish myself as a key figure in the sports media for many years to come. It would be difficult to locate someone more competitive than me, and that also applies to my sports betting picks. We’re all in here together to win, and my mission is to make that happen each and every night while showcasing my unique personality. Being a member of this squad is an honour for me.