Key Factors & Analysis
Momentum & Recent Form
The Steelers are being viewed as the favorite. According to CBS Sports, Pittsburgh opened as a ~5.5-point favorite.
CBS Sports
According to BetQL simulations, the Steelers have about a 70% chance to win in many models.
BetQL
ESPN’s FPI model also gives Pittsburgh a strong edge (~64.3% win probability).
Yahoo Sports
Quarterback / Offensive Matchups
The Bengals are relying on Joe Flacco (veteran), not Joe Burrow right now.
Yahoo Sports
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StatsAlt
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Flacco has shown he can make big plays (e.g., in a past game vs. Steelers he threw 3 TDs, 342 yards).
Fox Sports
For the Steelers, Aaron Rodgers is key — if he is sharp and avoids mistakes, Pittsburgh has a good shot. Some analysis suggests they’ll try to exploit mismatches via the pass game.
newsnet5.com
Defense & Turnover Battle
Steelers’ defense is likely to make life difficult. According to some models, Pittsburgh might force more turnovers than they commit in this matchup.
BetQL
The Bengals’ offensive line is vulnerable, especially with pass rush threats from Pittsburgh.
thepicks.com
According to betting-analysis, the points total might lean lower (i.e., an under), because both teams may struggle to consistently finish drives in the red zone.
Squawka
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Historical / Head-to-Head Edge
All-time, the Steelers have a strong record vs. the Bengals.
AiScore
In recent matchups, games have often been close. Betting trends suggest tight finishes.
Squawka
Injuries / Key Absences
For Pittsburgh, some key players might be out: for example, Calvin Austin is mentioned as injured in some previews.
CBS Sports
For Cincinnati, pass rushers (or other defensive pieces) could be a concern too, depending on health.
thepicks.com
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Prediction
Likely Winner: Steelers
Projected Score: Steelers 27 – Bengals 23 (this mirrors some expert predictions)
newsnet5.com
Betting Angle:
Lean toward Steelers on the moneyline — they have the edge in efficiency, defense, and are being modeled as favorites.
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